SAS软件系统在石油产量预测中的应用  

The application of SAS software system in forecasting of oil output

作　　者：张帆[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南石油大学,四川成都610500

出　　处：《内蒙古石油化工》2007年第6期92-94,共3页Inner Mongolia Petrochemical Industry

摘　　要：SAS系统不但具有强大的数据处理和分析功能,而且用于预测的效果也较好。本文结合石油行业产量的特点,运用SAS系统中时间序列建模方法及回归分析方法对原油月产量作了预测分析,预测结果精度较高。实证表明SAS系统用于石油及其他行业的预测不仅是可行的,而且是有效的。SAS software system not only has powerful function of disposing and analyzing data but also good effect on forecasting. This essay combines to the characteristics of oil output, forecasts the crude oil output with time series modeling approach and regression analysis method and has a high precision. The demonstration indicates that SAS system applied in forecasting of oil and other industries is not only feasible but also effective.

关 键 词：SAS 预测 时间序列 ARMA模型 

分 类 号：TP31[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论]