新疆玛纳斯河流域农业水资源可利用潜力分析  

Analysis on the Potential of the Available Agriculture Water Resources in Manas River Valley,Xinjiang

作　　者：李玉义[1] 张海林[1] 张凤华[2] 陈阜[1] 赖先齐[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学农学与生物技术学院,北京100094 [2]新疆兵团绿洲生态农业重点实验室,新疆石河子832003

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2007年第1期44-50,共7页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：基础研究重大项目前期研究专项(2003CCA02300)

摘　　要：结合新疆玛纳斯河流域水文水资源、种植结构和节水技术发展等资料,从开源、节流两方面对流域近期(至2010年)、中远期(2010-2030年)农业水资源极限潜力、可挖掘潜力进行了估算。结果表明,就目前水资源的利用水平和开发趋势,玛纳斯河流域未来农业水资源的主要利用途径是开源与节流相结合,以节流为主。全流域尚有的农业灌溉水资源极限潜力为10.75×108m3,近期农业水资源可挖掘潜力为2.13×108m3,其中开源增水潜力0.40×108m3,占18.8%,节流增水潜力1.73×108m3,占81.2%;中远期农业水资源可挖掘潜力5.33×108m3,其中开源增水潜力1.12×108m3,占21.0%,节流增水潜力4.21×108m3,占79.0%。该研究对区域制订节水灌溉规划及水资源系统优化配置具有重要参考价值。Based on the analysis of hydrological data,planting structure and water-saving technology development in Manas River Valley in Xinjiang, the potential of the available agricultu-ral water resources in the future was quantitatively estimated by considering surface water-saving and groundwater exploitation potential.It was considered that the main approach about increasing agricultural water resource was to reduce the waste of surface water in this region according to actual situation of water resources use.The results also showed that the ultimate utilization volume of agricultural water resources in the future can reach 10.75×10^8m^3.The potential of the available agricultural water resources would reach 2.13×10^8m^3 in 2010,of which groundwater and surface water exploitation potential was equivalent to 0.40×10^8m^3 and 1.73×10^8m^3 respectively, which accounted for 18.8% and 81.2% of the total agricultural water resources potential.In 2010-2030,the potential of the available agricultural water resources would equal to 5.33×10^8m^3, which was composed of 1.12 ×10^8m^3 of groundwater exploitation volume and 4.21 ×10^8m^3 of surface water-saving,which accounted for 21.0% and 79.0% of the total water-saving potential respectively.This study conclusion can be applied to agriculture water resources exploitation and water-saving planning, which is also very important to realize the rational allocation of water resources and the sustainable development of economy.

关 键 词：农业水资源 可利用潜力 极限潜力 玛纳斯河流域 

分 类 号：F323.213[经济管理—产业经济]