北京市痢疾发病率影响因素分析  

Influential factors analysis on incidence of dysentery in Beijing

作　　者：贾蕾[1] 曹卫华[1] 贺雄[2] 黎新宇[2] 唐耀武[2] 吴疆[2] 王全意[2] 高婷[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学医学部 [2]北京市疾病预防控制中心

出　　处：《中国公共卫生》2007年第8期1004-1006,共3页Chinese Journal of Public Health

摘　　要：目的探讨北京市痢疾报告发病率长期变化特点及其与经济、气候等影响因素的关系,为进一步现场调查提供理论依据。方法将北京市1949～2004年痢疾报告发病率与气候、经济等因素进行单因素相关分析和多元回归分析。结果每年日照时数、大风日数越多,平均气温、平均气压以及全市居民消费水平越低,居民或农民家庭拥有冰箱数越少,则当年痢疾发病率越高。结论痢疾发病率与气候、经济密切相关,当年发病率可用当年降水量、日照时数、居民家庭平均每百户冰箱数3个变量来估计。Objective To discuss the relationship between incidence of dysentery and economy and climate, to provide theoretic foundation of further investigation. Methods The data of climate and incidence of dysentery from 1949 to 2004 were collected to do correlation study an multiply linear regression. Results If there were more hours of sunshine, days of strong wind, or lower average temperature, average pressure or all households＇ consumption, or fewer refrigerators, there would be higher incidence of dysentery. Conclusion The incidence of dysentery is well connected with economy and climate; it can be estimated by precipitation, hours of sunshine and per 100 households＇ annual possession of refrigerators.

关 键 词：痢疾 发病率 影响因素 

分 类 号：R516.4[医药卫生—内科学]