地方政府债务风险构成及预警评价模型构建初探  

Research on the Pose of Local Government Debt Risk and Construction of the Forecast Appraisal Model

作　　者：谢虹[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东财经职业学院基础教学部,广东广州510420

出　　处：《现代财经（天津财经大学学报）》2007年第7期63-65,共3页Modern Finance and Economics：Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics

摘　　要：政府债务风险是我国当前与今后一个时期面临的主要风险之一。本文通过分析地方政府债务形成因素和风险形成的原因,对债务和风险进行了分类,提出有针对性的债务风险评价指标体系,并对此指标体系提出模糊数学综合评价计算方法。The risk of government debts is one of main risks China faces currently and days to come, This paper analyzes the factors which produces the debts and the causes the debt risks result from, classifies the debts and risks, establishes the corresponding appraisal index system of the debt risk, and puts forth the relevant calculation methods of the risk appraisal basing upon fuzzy mathematics.

关 键 词：地方债务 风险评价 模糊数学评价模型 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学]