应用断层气氡进行地震监测预报  

APPLYING FAULT GAS RADON TO EARTHQUAKE MONITORING AND PREDICTION

作　　者：许秋龙[1] 王道[1] 张洪斌[1] 王瑞平[2] 李瑜 

机构地区：[1]新疆维吾尔自治区地震局,乌鲁木齐830011 [2]新疆维吾尔自治区地震局阿克苏地震台,阿克苏843000 [3]新疆维吾尔自治区地震局库尔勒地震台,库尔勒841009

出　　处：《内陆地震》1997年第2期160-167,共8页Inland Earthquake

摘　　要：概述了断层气氡观测点的地理位置、地质环境和观测条件，用最优周期谱分析法和多元逐步回归方法对观测资料进行了详细分析，分析结果表明观测曲线具有“冬高夏低”的年动态变化和固体潮变化特征。其中固体潮变化是断层气氡进行地震监测预报的力学基础。另外对1994年以来断层气氡在地震监测预报中的应用实例进行了总结分析，表明测量断层气氡是地震监测预报研究的一条新途径。There are 3 observation boreholes of fault gas radon in Xinjiang1their geographic loca-tions,geologic settings and observationary conditions are generally introduced in this paper.The data from obsecvation boreholes are analysed by optimal periodic spectrum method andmutiple stepwise regression method; it is shown that the observed curves have the annualvariation of 'high in winter and low in summer' and solid tide variation. Between two kindsof variation,solid tide variation is the dynamic base of earthquake monitoring and prediction.The practice since 1997 shows that fault gas radon observation is a new way to monitor andpredict earthquakes.

关 键 词：断层气 氡异常 周期谱 固体潮 地震预报 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]