灰色多层次评价法在工程项目选择中的应用  

Application of Grey Hierarchy Evaluation Method in Choice of Construction Project

作　　者：侯景亮[1] 迟红娟[2] 李远富[3] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学经济管理学院,四川成都610031 [2]鲁东大学交通学院,山东烟台264025 [3]西南交通大学土木工程学院,四川成都610031

出　　处：《西南交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2007年第4期23-27,共5页Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家科技攻关项目(2004BA905B09)

摘　　要：在项目的初始阶段,影响选择方的评价指标体系包含诸多项目内外部指标。这些指标多为定性指标,用传统方法很难取得良好的评估效果,并最终影响到选择方的利益。而运用灰色多层次模型将这些定性指标定量化,不仅能够对单个工程项目进行综合价值评价,还能对多个项目进行机会排序。尽管灰色多层次评价法在确定指标权重时会受一定的人为因素影响,但它能将主观评价降低到最低限度,且其更多的是进行定量分析和评价,因此,该方法有助于项目选择方的客观决策。In the initial stage of project the system of evaluation indexes that influence the selection of project includes internal and external indexes,all of which are mostly qualitative and hard to be evaluated by traditional methods.The grey hierarchy model can make these qualitative indexes quantitative,so it can not only evaluate the comprehensive value of a project but also make a sequencing of several projects.The grey hierarchy evaluation method may be affected by personal factors when it determines the weight of indexes,but it can minimize the subjective evaluation and conduct a quantitative analysis and evaluation.In conclusion,the grey hierarchy evaluation method is conducive to the objective decision of project selector.

关 键 词：工程项目选择 层次分析法 灰色评估理论 

分 类 号：F284[经济管理—国民经济] F224