公交票价比对公交结构的影响及方式选择模型  

The Effeets of Fare on Traffic Structure and Mode Split Model

作　　者：姚丽亚[1] 关宏志[1] 严海[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学交通工程北京市重点实验室,北京100022

出　　处：《北京工业大学学报》2007年第8期834-837,共4页Journal of Beijing University of Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(50478041;50678004);北京市自然科学基金(8053019).

摘　　要：为了确定轨道交通和地面常规公交的建设规模,利用宏观调控政策合理分配客流,研究了公交票价对公交结构的影响.通过在北京市进行交通方式选择问卷调查.分析了影响居民选择轨道交通和地面公交的因素.结果表明,出行时间、出行费用、出行者的性别、年龄、职业、收入、出行目的对于出行方式选择结果有显著影响,在对变量分类合并的基础上确定代入模型的变量,并结合非集计模型的理论建立了出行方式选择行为模型,给出了出行费用和交通方式选择之间的关系,为利用票价政策调节公共交通结构提供了依据.In order to decide the construction scale of railways and routine buses, distribute the traffic volume reasonably by adjusting the fare policy, the effects of fare on traffic structure is studied in this paper. Questionnaire investigations of public traffic mode split were done in Beijing. Influencing factors of selecting railways and buses are analyzed. The results show that trip time, cost, sex, age, occupation, income, and trip intention have marked influences on the results of trip mode split. On the basis of combination of variable factors, the variables that should be used in the model were determined and the model of public traffic mode split based on disaggregate model is given in this paper. The relationship between fare and mode split is studied, which provided a base for adjusting the structure of public traffic by using the fare policy.

关 键 词：轨道交通 效用理论 票价 出行方式 非集计模型 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]