舰炮校射落点精度分析与评估  

Precision Analysis and Evaluation for Shipboard Gun's Firing Correction Point of Fall

作　　者：戴耀[1] 汪德虎[1] 胡江[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军大连舰艇学院,辽宁大连116018

出　　处：《指挥控制与仿真》2007年第5期70-72,82,共4页Command Control & Simulation

基　　金："十五"国防预研基金项目(401080702)

摘　　要：为了评估舰炮校射方法优劣,借鉴武器系统精度分析试验理论,提出了舰炮校射精度分析与评估的通用方法。根据舰炮校射精度的基本概念,选取圆概率误差作为评估参数,通过用Bayes自助方法进行观测样本再抽样,来模拟误差变量的近似分布,建立了评估舰炮校射落点圆概率误差的评估模型。仿真结果表明,该方法可用来对各种校射方法的优劣进行分析评估,为舰炮校射决策提供有力的依据,具有重要的现实意义和军事意义。In order to evaluates all kinds of shipboard gun＇s firing correction method＇s stand or fall, a general method for analyzing and evaluating shipboard gun＇s. firing correction is put forward, and the weapon system＇s accuracy analysis theory is used for reference. According to the concept of shipboard gun＇s firing correction precision, selects CEP as the evaluating parameter, and establishes the evaluation model which based on Bayes Bootstrap method. The results of simulation shows the method is effectively and feasibly.

关 键 词：舰炮校射 精度评估 Bayes自助 圆概率误差 

分 类 号：E924.91[军事—军事装备学] E920.2[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]