洪水过程的非确定性研究  

A Study on the Nondeterminacy of Flood Process

作　　者：陈全会[1,2] 袁宏源[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河南黄河河务局 [2]武汉水利电力大学

出　　处：《灌溉排水》1997年第2期15-19,共5页Irrigation and Drainage

摘　　要：本文提出了洪水过程模糊随机模拟方法，并以沁河实例用自回归模型、典型解模型及常用的设计洪水过程线推求方法与之进行模型验证，研究结果表明。This paper briefly introduces the determinacy and nondeterminacy of flood process and puts forward the method of fuzzy stochastic simulation of flood process.At the end,this paper analyses the living example of Qinhe with this method and testifies it by alltoregression model,typical aggregation diaggregation model and commonly designed flood process curves mothod.The results indicate that the method developed in this paper is reasonable and practical.

关 键 词：洪水过程 随机性 模糊性 模拟 

分 类 号：TV122.5[水利工程—水文学及水资源]