含学习效应技术采纳时间的优化模型及模拟  

Optimal model of technology adoption time with learning effect and its simulation

作　　者：代宏坤[1] 徐玖平[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川大学工商管理学院,成都610064

出　　处：《管理科学学报》2007年第5期21-27,共7页Journal of Management Sciences in China

摘　　要：针对企业技术采纳时间决策的问题,考虑企业内部学习效应和外部技术演进对企业技术采纳时间的影响,并重点考虑学习效应因素,建立了一个含学习效应技术采纳时间的优化模型;给出了企业技术采纳最优时间的决策准则;分析了企业最优技术采纳时间与固定采纳成本、市场容量、学习效率、外部技术进步率和需求弹性等因素之间的关系;模型模拟验证了模型的有效性和采纳决策准则的合理性.This paper focuses on the problem of enterprise＇s technology adoption time decision. Constructs an optimal model of enterprise technology adoption time with learning effect, considering influence of enterprise inner learning effect and outer technology evolution on the adoption time decision, mainly describing the learn- ing effect. Gives the decision-making rules of enterprise optimal adoption time. Analyses the relations between the optimal technology adoption time and fixed adoption cost, market volume, technology progress rate and needs elasticity. Model simulation tests the validity of the model and the rationality of adopting decision rules.

关 键 词：技术采纳 优化模型 学习效应 模型模拟 技术战略 

分 类 号：F113.2[经济管理—国际贸易]