随机环境下编队协同对地攻防对抗决策方法分析与研究  

Study on Decision-making in Air Formation to Ground Attack-Defence Campaign Under Stochastic Condition

作　　者：张莉[1] 张安[1] 沈建冬[2] 汤志荔[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北工业大学电子信息学院,陕西西安710072 [2]西安邮电学院信息与控制系,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《兵工学报》2007年第10期1229-1233,共5页Acta Armamentarii

基　　金：高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(20060699026)

摘　　要：以对策论为基础,编队协同对地攻防对抗作战为背景,建立了动态对抗决策模型;针对不确定性军事指挥决策中的随机问题,提出了随机影响因子概念,反映战场随机环境对各参战单元产生的影响,并建立了随机期望值对抗决策模型与随机机会约束对抗决策模型进行决策求解。仿真结果表明,该算法能够合理地处理战场随机状况,客观分析作战结果,为作战指挥决策提供有力的决策支持,方法实用、有效,具有很好的应用前景。On the basis of game theory, and taking the air formation to ground attack-defence cam- paign as the background, we established an opposed dynamic decision-making model. Aiming at the problems in military decision-making under stochastic condition in uncertainty, we put forward a factor of stochastic influence, which reflects the influence of stochastic condition on battling units, and estab- lishes stochastic opposed decision-making models in anticipant value and in correlative chance way far- ther. It can be seen from the simulating results that the models can dispose the stochastic status in bat- tlefield reasonably, analyse the fighting result impersonally, and offer a powerful decision-making sus- taining for military command and control. The proposed method is very practical and effective, and has a good applying future.

关 键 词：系统工程 随机环境 随机影响 决策 对策论 策略平衡点 

分 类 号：TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]