基于历史数据的江苏省基尼系数变化趋势预报——采用多层递阶方法对江苏区域经济差异的模型分析  

The Multi-degree Regression Prediction about the Gini Coefficient of Jiangsu Province Based on Historical Data——Model Analysis of the Regional Economic Differences of Jiangsu Province With the Approach for Multi-degree Regression Prediction

作　　者：徐剑[1] 吴广谋[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学经济管理学院,南京211189

出　　处：《价值工程》2007年第9期28-30,共3页Value Engineering

基　　金：江苏省科技项目资助(项目编号:BR2006029)。

摘　　要：区域经济差异是客观存在的。对其认识有助于了解区域经济发展的现状,而经济系统是一个复杂的系统,其数学模型难于事先确定,用自适用控制理论中的多层递阶方法修正参数可对经济系统进行较准确的预测与控制。文章试图通过多层递阶方法对江苏省经济差异进行预测,提高预测的准确性。The regional economy differences exist objectively. Knowledge about it will help to know the situation of regional economy development but economic system is a kind of complex system, the model of which is difficult to certain, and the approach for multi-degree regression based on adoptive principle is available to predict a economical system with more effect. This paper tries to forecast the economical differences of Jiangsu Province with adoptive principle, which improves the accuracy of forecast and control.

关 键 词：区域经济差异 基尼系数 多层递阶 自适用控制 

分 类 号：F123.2[经济管理—世界经济]