我国烟叶收购价格问题研究  

Study on Purchasing Price of Tobacco Leaf of China

作　　者：张勇[1] 池宏[2] 王建军[3] 

机构地区：[1]国网北京经济技术研究院,北京100761 [2]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100080 [3]中国银行业监督管理委员会,北京100800

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2007年第5期94-100,共7页Chinese Journal of Management Science

摘　　要：近年来,由于我国烟叶收购价格不合理,导致农民的种烟积极性下降,对我国烟叶生产的平稳发展带来很大影响。长期以来采用的烟粮比价定价法存在严重的缺陷,无法真正调动农民的种烟积极性。本文从我国烟叶生产的实际出发,把DEA方法、多元回归方法与完全信息动态博弈模型结合起来,提出了制定烟叶收购价格的新思路。该定价方法以烟粮比较收益为基础,制定的烟叶收购价格能够充分调动农民的种烟积极性。In recent years, as the purchasing price of tobacco leaf is irrational, Chinese peasants are not positive to plant tobacco leaf, it greatly influences the development of tobacco leaf production in China. For a long time, the purchasing price of tobacco leaf was established according to the proportion between the price of tobacco leaf and commissariat. But this method has its own limitation, it can not spur the peasants to plant tobacco leaf. Taking the reality of tobacco leaf production into consideration, this paper combines the data envelopment analysis （DEA）, regression and game theory together. This method is based on the income comparison between tobacco leaf and commissariat, so the purchasing price can effectively spur peasants to plant tobacco leaf. At last, we offer an example.

关 键 词：烟叶收购价格 数据包络分析(DEA) 完全信息动态博弈 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]