中国经济增长空间相关性研究——基于“长三角”与“珠三角”的实证  

Research on Spatial Dependence of Economic Growth in Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta

作　　者：苏良军[1] 王芸[1] 吕小玲（校对） 

机构地区：[1]北京大学光华管理学院 [2]不详

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2007年第12期26-38,共13页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

摘　　要：本文建立了两套回归模型:无空间相关变量的单向和双向固定效应模型;有空间相关变量的单向和双向固定效应模型。对比分析后得出的结论有:"长三角"和"珠三角"区域内部的确存在经济增长的空间相关性,"珠三角"区域内部经济增长的空间相关性略大于"长三角"区域,但两者在统计上并没有显著的差别;两个地区都存在经济增长的β收敛,但"珠三角"地区呈现出更强的收敛性;对于影响"长三角"和"珠三角"经济增长的因素,有些相同和不同点值得关注。We use spatial econometrics to study the spatial dependence, to analyze the economic growth, convergence, and factors of economic growth in both two Delta regions. We construct two sets of regression models, i.e. , one is one way and two way fixed effect models without the spatial dependence variable, and the other is one way and two way fixed effect models with the spatial dependence variable. Our findings are： there indeed exists economic spatial dependence in both the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, the spatial dependence in the Pearl River Delta appears stronger than that in the Yangtze River Delta, but they are statistically indifferent from each other; in both areas, there exists β convergence of economic growth but the convergence in the Pearl River Delta is statistically stronger than that in the Yangtze River Delta; the two Delta regions share some commons on the economic factors that have influences on the economic growth of both regions.

关 键 词：空间相关 空间自回归模型 增长收敛 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]