大地形变资料用于地震预测的回顾与思考  

Review and thinking about the application of geodetic data to earthquake prediction

作　　者：薄万举[1] 章思亚[1] 刘宗坚[1] 刘广余[1] 杜雪松[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地震局第一监测中心,天津300180

出　　处：《地震》2007年第4期68-76,共9页Earthquake

基　　金：中国地震局第一监测中心资助项目

摘　　要：对在大地测量学科用于地震预报及相关研究方面所了解的一些进展和历程进行了简要回顾和总结。其中包括1975年海城地震、1976年唐山地震、1989年大同地震、1996年丽江地震、2001年昆仑山口西地震、2005年乌什地震和2004年底的印尼8.7级特大地震等多次强烈破坏性地震及其观测到的形变异常现象和所做的预测研究成果,显示大地测量,特别是空间大地测量的发展对地震预测研究产生了明显的促进作用,对多学科开展联合攻关研究及地震监测预报的宏观决策有一定的参考和指导意义。Brief review and summarization on the development and recent history concerning the application of geodetic data to earthquake prediction have been given based on authors＇ understanding. Some research results of crust deformational anomalies and predictions related with strong earthquakes are given in the paper. It includes Haicheng earthquake in 1975, Tangshan earthquake in 1976, Datong earthquake in 1989, Lijiang earthquake in 1996, West to Kunlunshan Pass earthquake in 2001, Xinjiang Wushi earthquake in 2005, and the Indonesia great earthquake with MsS. 7 occurred at the end of 2004. The results show that the geodesy, especially the development of satellite techniques on earth survey, has promoted the earthquake prediction research obviously. Moreover, those results have significant values of reference and guidance for further study with multi-subjects and the decision-making about earthquake monitoring and prediction.

关 键 词：大地形变测量 GPS测量 地震预测 震例 地震前兆 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]