城市公共交通需求预测  

Forecast of Urban Public Traffic Demand

作　　者：蔡若松[1] 张莉[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽东学院,辽宁丹东118000

出　　处：《城市道桥与防洪》2007年第12期8-10,共3页Urban Roads Bridges & Flood Control

基　　金：辽宁省教育厅高等学校科学研究项目;计划编号(05L145)

摘　　要：该文在公共交通调查的基础上,分析了丹东市公共交通供需平衡性,运用"四阶段"模式对丹东市居民公共交通出行产生、居民公共交通出行分布、居民出行方式结构做出预测,以利于整个交通系统的内部平衡以及交通系统与外部系统的协调发展,旨在为公交规划提供必要的依据。Based on the investigation of the public traffic, the article analyzes the equilibrium of public traffic supply and demand in Dandong City, and applies '4-stage' mode to forecast the creation of public traffic travel of the residents in Dandong, the public traffic travel distribution of the residents and the travel way structure of the residents, which is advantageous to the internal balance of the whole traffic system and the coordination development of the traffic system with the exterior system. Its aim is to provide the necessary basis for the public traffic planning.

关 键 词：公共交通 公交产生 公交出行 公交分担 预测 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]