遂宁市域城镇化水平的定量研究  

Quantitative Research into the Level of the Urbanization in Suining Municipal Area

作　　者：杨国胜[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆师范学院地理系

出　　处：《重庆师范学院学报（自然科学版）》1997年第3期68-72,79,共6页Journal of Chongqing Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

摘　　要：对解放以来遂宁市域总人口在不同时段的增长情况进行综合分析后，作出了２０００年和２０１０年市域总人口的预测，并以此为基础，利用灰色预测法、回归模型法、相关分析等方法对２０００年和２０１０年非农业人口比重进行了预测。最后，推算出市域非农业人口和城镇化水平的具体数值，以便为区域规划者和领导决策层提供直接依据。Based on the comprehensive analysis of the increase of the people in Suining municipal area in all stages after liberation,this paper forecasts the number of the people in this municipal area in the year 2000 and 2010. It also calculates the proportion of the people who will not engage in agriculture in the year 2000 and 2010 with the methods of the grey system, the regression model and the correlation analysis. In the end ,it reckons the number of the non agricultural people and the level of the urbanization in this area so that it may serve as some bases for those who work on the regional plan and policy making.

关 键 词：遂宁市 城镇化水平 城镇发展 城镇规划 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济]