中国2010年SO_2排放量控制在2300万t以下的可行性分析  

Feasibility analysis of keeping sulfur dioxide emission under 23 millions tons in China

作　　者：韩振宇[1] 吴波[2] 孔令辉[2] 姜华[2] 韩国刚[3] 徐进[4] 

机构地区：[1]北京博奇电力公司,北京100022 [2]国家环保总局环境工程评估中心,北京100012 [3]中国环境科学研究院,北京100012 [4]北京科技大学,北京100083

出　　处：《电力环境保护》2007年第6期34-39,共6页Electric Power Environmental Protection

摘　　要：根据SO2减排控制指标体系中16个指标的概况和变化趋势,对中国2010年SO2排放量做了系统的分析和预测,得到了四组预测图像。提出了2010年SO2减排目标的约束条件是尽快恢复经济、能源、环境和谐发展模式,科学制订削减SO2排放量的规划,减缓国民经济发展速度,限制高硫煤开采,强化削减SO2排放量的优惠政策、税收政策和总量控制政策,大力发展循环经济与清洁生产,增加脱硫设施投资,提高SO2去除率。如果不满足约束条件,我国2010年SO2削减10%的目标是不能实现的。The sulfur dioxide emission condition in 2010 year in China has been predicted and analyzed according to the current situation and development tendency of the 16 affecting factors of decrease the sulfur dioxide emission,and get four sets of prediction images. The constraint conditions of realizing the sulfur dioxide reduction targed are restoring the harmonious development patteren of economy, energy and environment, a scientific planning of decrease the sulfur dioxide emission,slowing down the annual growth rate of GDP properly, limiting the exploitation of high - sulphur coal, enhancing the preferential policy, tax policy and the total quantity control policy of sulfur dioxide emission, developing the circulation economy and the clean production vigorously, increasing the investment on desulfurization facility and raising the sulfur dioxide elimination rate. If the constraint conditions do not be satisfied the target of sulfur dioxide reduction 10% in 2010 year cannot to be realized.

关 键 词：SO2减排指标 能源与环境 SO2宏观控制 

分 类 号：X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程]