上海市人口分布分形的时空演化  

Spatio-Temporal Evolution of Shanghai Population Distribution Based on Fractal Theory

作　　者：冯永玖[1] 刘妙龙[1] 童小华[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学测量与国土信息工程系,上海200092

出　　处：《同济大学学报（自然科学版）》2007年第12期1690-1694,1703,共6页Journal of Tongji University:Natural Science

基　　金：教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划资助项目(NCET-06-0381);上海市科技启明星资助项目(05QMX1456);同济大学现代工程测量国家测绘局重点实验室资助项目(200618)

摘　　要：基于分形理论以街道(乡镇)为单元,对上海市及其典型区县1994—2002年的人口资料进行研究,测算上海市及其典型区县人口分布的盒子维值(D0)和相关维值(D2)以及相应的相关系数,发现上海市及其典型区县人口分布分形性态明显,不同地域层次的人口分布分维值呈现不同的时间演化趋势,利用分形很好地解释了上海市及其典型区县当前人口分布的空间格局.同时本研究也涉及人口分布数据分形处理的误差和及其影响的探讨.The box-counting dimensions （D0s）, the generalized q-Dimensions （D2s, q = 2） and the corresponding correlation coefficient （ r2） of urban population distribution are calculated on the basis of the population distribution data from 1994 to 2002 in Shanghai and some of its districts at the levels of township, town and residential district by adopting the fractal theory. Multifractal characteristics and the spatio-temporal dynamic evolution of population distribution in the regions such as Jing＇ an, Hongkou, Yangpu, Pudong, Minhang and Jinshan are discussed in detail. The population spatial distribution pattern is perfectly interpreted by using population fractal. An analysis is made of the relationship between urbanization and population fractal in Shanghai. Finally, this paper also discusses the errors and effects of the population fractal data processing.

关 键 词：人口分布 分形理论 时空演化 区域差异 上海市 

分 类 号：F713.36[经济管理—产业经济]