香港对外贸易与就业水平的关系研究  

Analysis of the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Employment of Hong Kong——Based on Cointegretion and Impulse Response Positive Analysis

作　　者：邵帅[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学特区港澳经济研究所,广东广州510632

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2007年第12期28-31,共4页International Economics and Trade Research

摘　　要：对外贸易与就业之间的关系一直被人们忽视,文章选取香港1990-2005年的相关数据,运用协整检验和脉冲响应函数,对香港的进出口贸易与劳动就业关系进行实证分析,结果表明香港进口、出口与失业之间存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系,据此对香港的对外贸易政策提出了相应的建议。The relationship between foreign trade and employment is always neglected by the scholar. This paper, through selecting the 1990-2005 year correlation data of Hong Kong and using Cointegretion method and impulse response function, makes a positive analysis of Hong Kong＇s import-export trade and labor employment relations. It concludes that Hong Kong＇s import ＆ export trade and unemployment have a relation of long-term stable dynamic equalization. On this basis, some corresponding proposals are put forward to Hong Kong＇s trade policy.

关 键 词：对外贸易 失业 脉冲响应 

分 类 号：F727[经济管理—产业经济]