基于Verhulst反函数预测模型的柿竹园矿地压灾害预测预报  

Forecast for Ground Pressure Disasters of Shizhuyuan Mine Based on Verhulst Inverse Function Forecast Model

作　　者：尹彦波[1] 李爱兵[1] 

机构地区：[1]长沙矿山研究院,湖南长沙410012

出　　处：《矿业研究与开发》2007年第6期73-74,85,共3页Mining Research and Development

基　　金：科技部科研院所社会公益研究专项(2005DIB3J233)

摘　　要：基于Verhulst反函数预测模型原理方法,建立了地压灾害的Verhulst反函数预测模型,运用VB编制计算模型程序,将模型程序运用于柿竹园多金属矿的地压灾害预测预报中,预测结果与工程实际相吻合。预测结果表明,Verhulst反函数预测模型精度较高,能很好的指导工程实践,具有较高的工程应用价值。Based on the principle and method of Verhulst inverse function forecast model , a forecast model of ground pressure disaster based on Verhulst inverse function has been established, and the calculation codes of the forecast model have been programmed using VB and been used to forecast ground pressure disasters in Shizhuyuan multi - metalliferous mine. The results of forecast were accordant with the engineering practices, showed that the Verhalst inverse function forecast model＇s preci-sion is high, it can provide better guidance for project practice, has the high value in engineering applications.

关 键 词：地压灾害 Verhulst反函数模型 灾害预测预报 

分 类 号：TD327[矿业工程—矿井建设] O141.4[理学—数学]