工业重化工化对我国能源消费影响的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis on the Influence of Heavy Chemical Industry on Chinese Energy Consumption

作　　者：张意翔[1] 王红兵[2] 汪涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学经济学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]中国地质大学资源学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《中国地质大学学报（社会科学版）》2008年第1期26-31,共6页Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家软科学资助项目(2005DGQ4B112)

摘　　要：文章分析了工业重化工化对我国能源消费的影响。首先,通过建立能源消费误差修正模型,分析了工业重化工化对能源消费总量的影响,认为工业重化工化在短期和长期都会影响能源消费总量;其次,讨论了重化工业的重新发展对能源消费结构的影响,认为工业重化工化会使我国能源消费的行业结构和品种结构特征更加明显;最后,从调整产业结构、加强结构节能、促进节能优先战略的实施以及实现能源结构优化等方面探讨了降低能源消费总量、消除能源消费结构特征的几种途径。Based on the data of heavy chemical industry since 2000, this paper analyzed the impact of heavy chemical industry on China＇s energy consumption. Firstly, it analyzed the impact of heavy chemical industry on China＇s total energy consumption by building error correction model of Chinese energy consumption, and reached on the conclusion that heavy chemical industry will increase the total energy consumption. Secondly, it discussed the impact of the re-development of heavy industry on China＇s energy consumption structure, and drew the conclusion that heavy chemical industry will make the structure features of China＇s energy consumption more obvious. And finally, from aspects of adjusting the industrial structure, strengthening the energy-saving strategy and optimizing the energy structure, it explored the ways of how to reduce the energy consumption and eliminate the structure features of energy consumption.

关 键 词：工业重化工化 能源消费 产业结构 品种结构 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济]