研究型大学研发与首都区域专利产出的动态计量经济分析  

A dynamic study on relation between university R&D and patent output of the capital region

作　　者：吴玉鸣[1] 何建坤[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学公共管理学院

出　　处：《科研管理》2007年第2期93-98,共6页Science Research Management

基　　金：全国教育科学"十五"规划重点课题(DFB030294);北京市科委科学研究计划项目(Z0004094040112)

摘　　要：运用动态计量经济学的分布滞后、单位根检验、协整分析和G ranger因果检验模型,对研究型大学研发投入与首都区域专利产出进行了动态计量经济实证分析,结果显示:首都地区研发投入在影响专利产出过程中存在2期的滞后效应;研究型大学研发经费投入每增加1%,首都区域研发产出当年将增长0.3%,大学研发投入在3年内共使得专利产出增长了0.6%;大学研发投入与专利产出之间存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系,但是其对专利产出没有表现出预期的促进作用;专利产出是大学研发投入G ranger意义上的原因,但研发投入没能有效地促进首都区域专利产出,二者之间还没有形成一种协调联动的发展机制。The dynamic econometric relationship between the research university R＆D expenditure and patent application of capital region is analyzed, employing methods of PDL, ADF unit root test, cointegration analysis and Granger causal analysis of dynamic econometrics. The results show： （1） the lag time of the R＆D influence on the capital regional patent output is two years （2） on average, when the R＆D expenditure of research universities increases 1%, the patent output of the capital region will in- crease 0. 3%, and the patent output of the capital region increases 0. 6% percent altogether in three years; （3） although the trend relationship between the research university R＆D expenditure and patent output has a long - run and stationary equilibrium tendency, the research university R＆D expenditure does not have a prospective and stimulative function on the patent output of the capital region; （4） the patent output is the Granger causality of the R＆D expenditure of research university, but the R＆D expenditure does not promote the patent output of the capital regional growth effectively, and a alternating feedback mechanism has not been set up.

关 键 词：研究型大学 研发经费投入 首都区域专利产出 动态计量经济模型 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]