基于granger方法的农业财政支出对农民收入影响的实证分析  

The Empirical Analysis on Agricultural Expenditure and Farmers′ Income Based on Granger Method

作　　者：王君萍[1] 王强[2] 

机构地区：[1]西安石油大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710065 [2]陕西师范大学国际商学院,陕西西安710062

出　　处：《商业研究》2008年第2期167-170,共4页Commercial Research

基　　金：陕西省社会科学基金项目,项目编号:06E020S;西安市社会科学基金项目,项目编号:06J28;西安石油大学科技项目,项目编号:2006-105

摘　　要：运用granger因果关系协整分析方法,求解农业财政支出对农民收入的影响,得出了农业财政支出是农民收入增长Granger原因的结论。根据模型结果,农业财政支出每增加一亿元,农民人均纯收入增加1.88元。因此努力增加农业财政支出是当前增加农民收入的有效途径。This paper analyzes the relationship between agricultural expenditure and farmers＇ income, and concludes that agricultural expenditure is the Granger causality of farmers＇ income changing and there is a long- term stable equilibrium between them. Based on the model, each additional 100 million yuan of agricultural expenditure, the net income of farmers increased 1.88 yuan, so to increase agricultural spending is an effective way to increase the income of peasants.

关 键 词：农业财政支出 农民收入 GRANGER因果关系 协整分析 

分 类 号：F30[经济管理—产业经济]