基于模糊理论的压力管道风险分析技术研究——压力管道风险管理理论及其关键技术研究(3)  

Study Based on Fuzzy Theory in Pressure Pipeline Risk Analysis Technology——Theory and Key Technology of Pressure Pipeline Risk Management(3)

作　　者：刘展[1] 李建华[1] 王智平[1] 俞树荣[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州理工大学甘肃省有色金属新材料国家重点实验室

出　　处：《石油化工设备》2008年第1期1-3,共3页Petro-Chemical Equipment

基　　金：国家质检总局科研基金(国质检2003-354);甘肃省自然科学基金(ZS021-A25-016-G);甘肃省建设厅科研基金资助项目

摘　　要：提出了压力管道模糊风险的概念,介绍了模糊性风险事件的概率及风险指标计算方法,确立了压力管道模糊综合评判流程,从整体上综合评价出各压力管道风险因素之间的差异,从而可以对压力管道风险因素进行分类或排序,以便有针对性地进行风险管理。Concept of fuzzy risk of pressure pipeline is proposed and the approaches for calculat- ing rates of fuzzy risk incidents and risk indexes are introduced,through which a complete process of fuzzy and comprehensive evaluation of pressure pipeline is set up. A comprehensive evaluation on differences of risk factors of pressure pipeline will be possible by using this technology and risk factors will be classified and put into order to achieve targeted risk management.

关 键 词：压力管道 风险管理 模糊风险 综合评判 

分 类 号：TQ055.81[化学工程]