福建省沙埕港百年一遇台风风暴潮的计算  

Calculation of the Storm Surges in the Shacheng Bay in Fujian Province in 100 Years Return Periods

作　　者：董剑希[1] 仉天宇[1] 付祥[1] 吴玮[1] 赵联大[1] 吴少华[1] 于福江[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家海洋环境预报中心,北京100081

出　　处：《海洋通报》2008年第1期9-16,共8页Marine Science Bulletin

基　　金："十一五"国家科技攻关计划重点项目"近海重大海洋灾害预警技术研究"(2006BAC03B01)

摘　　要：研究了福建省沙埕港风暴潮状况,根据收集的沙埕验潮站连续50 a(1956—2005)的台风过程增水资料以及西北太平洋57 a的台风资料,采用皮尔逊Ⅲ统计法和数值法分别计算了沙埕港的100 a一遇台风暴潮和100 a一遇最大台风暴潮,并得到了产生这两种台风增水的台风路径及强度等台风参数。沙埕港100 a一遇台风暴潮为198 cm,100 a一遇最大台风暴潮为243 cm,其中产生100 a一遇台风暴潮的台风移向为NW方向,移速为19 km/h,路径位于沙埕港南12 km;产生100 a一遇最大台风暴潮的台风移向为NW方向,移速为19 km/h,路径位于沙埕港南24 km。计算结果为福建沿海海洋工程项目的建设提供了重要参考依据。The storm surge of the Shacheng bay in Fujian Province was studied in this article. Pearson-Ⅲ distribution and numerical method were used to calculate respectively the storm surges and the max storm in 100 years return periods, and typhoon parameters including typhoon track and intensity were also obtained. The storm surge in 100 a return periods is 198 cm, and the distance between the typhoon trace and the Shacheng bay is 12 km. The max storm surge in 100 a return periods is 243 cm, and the distance between the typhoon trace and the Shacheng bay is 24 km. The result offered reference for the ocean engineering project.

关 键 词：台风暴潮 100a 一遇 台风路径 

分 类 号：P722.6[天文地球—海洋科学] P731.23