四川省区域经济增长趋同与分异研究  

A Study on Regional Economic Growth Convergence and Divergence in Sichuan

作　　者：孙植华[1] 翟有龙[2] 

机构地区：[1]西华师范大学区域经济研究所,四川南充637002 [2]西华师范大学国土资源学院,四川南充637002

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2008年第2期71-77,共7页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：四川省科技厅软科学项目《四川省经济增长趋同性及其调控对策研究》(2006216-025)

摘　　要：根据1978--2005年四川省各市州的人均GDP数据，以新古典增长理论为基础，对四川区域经济增长进行研究。结果表明：在整个时段上，四川区域经济增长经历了趋同一分异一趋同的过程；在1978--1990年期间，区域经济增长存在显著趋同且趋同速度较快，但在1990--2005年期间，区域经济增长分异的趋势较强。趋同的趋势不甚明显；通过引入控制变量和地区虚拟变量分析，说明在社会主义市场经济体制建立的过程中。四川区域经济增长存在条件收敛，五大经济区有“俱乐部”趋同的倾向。This article conducts a research on regional economic growth in Sichuan province with the data of per capita GDP during 1978 to 2005 and with the equipment of the new economical growth theory. The result indicates that regional economic growth in Sichuan province experiences a process with convergence—— divergence----convergence in the entire time interval; There is a remarkable and high speed absolute convergence in 1978- 1990 year period; But in the 1990- 2005 period, the divergent tendency of the regional economic growth is strong, the convergence tendency is not really obviously; In the socialism market economy system establishment process, there is a conditional convergence on regional economic growth in Sichuan province and a tendency of club convergence in five big economic zones by introducing control variable and the local hypothesized variable into the model.

关 键 词：四川省 区域经济 Σ收敛 Β收敛 俱乐部收敛 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]