等维灰数递补动态模型在废水排放量预测中的应用研究  

Study on the Dynamic Forecasting Model with Recursive Compensation by Grey Numbers of the Contaminated Water Drainage

作　　者：阎伍玖[1] 桂拉旦[1] 桂清波[1] 钱龙霞[2] 

机构地区：[1]广东商学院旅游与环境学院 [2]北京师范大学水科学研究院,北京100875

出　　处：《环境科学与管理》2008年第1期16-17,29,共3页Environmental Science and Management

基　　金：广东商学院科研基金(06YB79002);安徽省软科学项目基金(04035032)联合资助

摘　　要：为了克服GM(1,1)预测模型的不足,提出了污染物排放量预测的等维灰数递补动态预测模型。考虑到用QB、C等语言编写程序比较繁杂,本文利用MATLAB软件编写了对应的计算程序,该程序简化了参数的求解过程并减少了程序量。通过对"十一五"期间安徽省工业和生活废水排放量预测的实际应用,验证了等维灰数递补动态预测模型在污染物排放量预测中应用的可行性。In order to overcome the weakness of GM （ 1,1 ） model, this paper put forward dynamic forecasting model with recursive compensation by grey numbers of identical dimensions. Considering it＇s rather complicated to write the program with QB, C and so on, the paper makes use of MATLAB software to write the program of dynamic forecasting model with recursive compensation by grey numbers of identical dimensions, which simplifies the process of getting the parameter and reduces the program. By forecasting industrial and life contaminated water drainage during the eleventh five years in Anhui province, the paper explains its feasibility.

关 键 词：工业和生活废水 等维灰数递补动态预测模型 安徽省 

分 类 号：X505[环境科学与工程—环境工程]