区间数多属性决策的Monte Carlo方法  

Monte Carlo method for interval multi-attribute decision-making

作　　者：于永生[1] 刁联旺[1] 

机构地区：[1]中电集团第28研究所C4ISR技术国防科技重点实验室,南京210007

出　　处：《东南大学学报（自然科学版）》2008年第1期187-190,共4页Journal of Southeast University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：总装备部“十一五”预研课题资助项目(513060302).

摘　　要：定义了新的方案比较的可能度.对于属性值以区间数形式给出的区间型多属性决策问题,提出了一种新的决策方法.该方法无需计算方案综合评价值的概率分布,只要已知各方案各属性值的概率分布即可对区间数进行比较和排序,具有简洁、直观、易于计算的特点.最后通过假定方案各属性值服从均匀分布的实例对方法的有效性和实用性进行了说明.A new possibility degree for comparing two projects is defined. A new method is proposed for interval multi-attribute decision-making, in which the attribute values are in the form of interval numbers. The method can compare and rank interval numbers, and avoid computing the probability distribution of integral evaluation values, if all attribute values＇ distributions are known. It is straightforward and can be performed on computer easily. Finally, an illustrative example, which assumes all attribute values＇ distributions are uniformed, is given to demonstrate the feasibility and practicability of the proposed method.

关 键 词：多属性决策 区间数 MONTE Carlo法 可能度 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学] N94[自然科学总论—系统科学]