我国水资源安全影响因素与发展态势研究  

Affecting factors of water resources security and its evolving tendency

作　　者：孙才志[1] 张蕾[1] 闫冬[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,辽宁大连116029

出　　处：《水利经济》2008年第1期1-4,25,共5页Journal of Economics of Water Resources

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(07BJY066);国家自然科学基金资助项目(40501013)

摘　　要：从10个方面探讨水安全的影响因素,分析我国水安全的基本现状,预测未来发展态势。研究结果表明:"水多"问题对我国水安全的不利影响将逐渐降低;"水少"问题在未来依然严峻;"水脏"问题长期内呈现加剧态势;"水浑"问题将会在2050年前有较大的改善;水生态失衡问题到2050年可望得到很大的缓解。The affecting factors of water resources security were discussed from 10 aspects.The status in quo of water resources security in China was analyzed,and its evolving tendency in the future was predicted.The results show that:the side-effect of 'water abundance' problem will gradually decrease;the 'water shortage' problem will be still serious in the future;the 'water dirtiness' problem will be more serious for a long period;the 'water feculence' problem will have been greatly improved before 2050;the 'water ecology unbalance' problem will have been significantly improved up to 2050.

关 键 词：水资源安全 影响因素 发展态势 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]