基于集对分析的尾矿库安全评价研究  

Research on the safety evaluation of the tailing pond by way of the set pair analysis

作　　者：郑欣[1] 许开立[1] 周家红[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北大学资源与土木工程学院,沈阳110004

出　　处：《安全与环境学报》2008年第1期160-162,共3页Journal of Safety and Environment

基　　金：国家“十一五”攻关项目(2006BAK04B01-1-1)

摘　　要：为更好地对尾矿库的安全状况进行综合评价,针对尾矿库的特点建立了指标体系,并采用层次分析法确定各指标权重。将集对分析理论用于尾矿库的安全评价,并通过实例证明该理论适合于尾矿库的安全评价。集对分析中差异度i取1和-1。研究表明,当i=1时,指标体系中所有处于"一般安全"状态的指标项经过整改后能处于"安全"状态,此时联系度μ=0.736,尾矿库处于"安全"状态;当i=-1时,指标体系中所有处于"一般安全"状态的指标项,在安全管理水平下降的情况下全部转为"不安全"状态,此时μ=0.114,尾矿库处于"不安全"状态。i的不同取值可反映尾矿库的具体安全状态,同时也反映尾矿库的安全管理水平,并充分体现了安全管理的重要性。研究为尾矿库的安全评价提供了一条新途径。This paper intends to introduce an index system developed by its authors for the safety evaluation of the railings pond by adopting an analytically hierarchical process through the set pair analysis. In the proposed index system developed by us, i is used to stand for the respective admissions 1 and - 1. When i = 1, all the targets in the index system, which are used to refer to the ＂general safety＂, would be turned into ＂safety ones＂ after a process of rectification. That is to say, when μ = 0.736, the tailings pond would remain ＂safe＂. However, when i = - 1, all the targets in the system, which are in a state of ＂general safety＂, would be turned to ＂unsafe＂, with the decline of the management level, Therefore, when μ = 0. 114, the tailings pond would begin to tend to be ＂unsafe＂. Thus, different values of i can be used to reflect the material safety conditions of the logistics system, which would also reveal the safety management level of the system, and, in turn, can fully embody the state and situation of the safety management. Needless to say, reliable safety evaluation can not only help ensure the system working safe of tailing pond, protect the people＇ s lives and property safety, but also can provide timely information and data of the safety management and the relevant management and control standards for the corresponding departments so as to ensure successful production development.

关 键 词：矿山安全 集对分析 尾矿库 安全评价 指标体系 层次分析法 

分 类 号：TD77[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]