上海市电力需求与经济政策关系研究  

Relation between power demand and economic policies in Shanghai

作　　者：原媛[1] 顾洁[1] 黄薇[2] 陈春琴[3] 高宇博[3] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学电气工程系,上海200240 [2]上海市电力公司,上海200122 [3]上海市电力公司市区供电公司,上海200080

出　　处：《华东电力》2008年第2期72-75,共4页East China Electric Power

摘　　要：经济发展的周期波动必然引起电力需求的波动。采用上海市经济和电量数据,根据经济变量周期波动理论,结合经济指标与电力需求间的关联分析,对上海市电力需求变化规律进行捕捉,得出各周期内电力需求受经济政策的影响情况,为预测电力需求增长趋势提供理论依据。The periodic fluctuation of economic development probably causes fluctuation of electricity demand. By using the periodic fluctuation theory and the data on economy and electricity consumption of Shanghai, the power demand variation rule is studied and the influence of the economic policy on electricity demand is obtained based on the analysis of correlation between economic indices and power demand.

关 键 词：电力需求周期 经济政策 经济指标 相关性 

分 类 号：TM714[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]