人民币汇率变动与我国进出口贸易弱相关性的原因分析  

An Analysis of the NON-relation between the Fluctuation of RMB Exchange-rate and the Foreign Trade

作　　者：傅冠岚[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江教育学院国际工商管理学院,浙江杭州310012

出　　处：《浙江教育学院学报》2008年第1期88-93,共6页Journal of ZHEJIANG Education Institute

摘　　要：现实与实证研究都表明人民币汇率变动与我国进出口贸易呈弱相关性。究其原因,在于出口商理性行为、出口沉淀成本、出口商定价决策等微观因素及我国对外贸易结构、对外贸易政策等更为重要的宏观因素在很大程度上影响了汇率变动的贸易传递效应。The reality and empirical research show there is almost no relation between the fluctuation of RMB exchange-rates and the foreign trade. It results not only from the microfactors such as the exporters＇ reasonable action, the export cost, the price policy but also the macrofactors such as the trade structure and the trade policy, both of which influence the trade impact of fluctuation of exchange-rates.

关 键 词：汇率变动 进出口贸易 弱相关性 

分 类 号：F74[经济管理—国际贸易]