反倾销与美中双边产业内贸易:经验分析  

Antidumping and U.S.-China Bilateral Intra-Industry Trade:An Empirical Analysis

作　　者：沈国兵[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学经济学院世界经济研究所

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2008年第3期48-55,共8页World Economy Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(07BJY012);上海市哲学社会科学规划课题(2006BJL006);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(06JJD790005);复旦大学"中国经济国际竞争力研究创新基地国际环境研究"项目;复旦大学985数据库建设项目资助

摘　　要：本文针对反倾销与美中双边产业内贸易关系问题,运用GL指数和二元Logit模型研究发现,1995～2006年美国对华反倾销摩擦张力较大的20类涉案产品,其产业内贸易指数都比较小,且美方处于较大的贸易逆差失衡压力,这些成为引发美国对华不断发起反倾销贸易摩擦的实质原因。并且,从经验上否定了反倾销密集程度与美中双边产业内贸易程度的正相关关系。结论是,美中双边产品产业内贸易程度较低,且美国处于贸易逆差失衡的产品最容易招致美国对华反倾销行为。Focusing on the relationship between antidumping(AD)and U.S.-China bilateral intra-industry trade(IIT),this paper uses the GL index and the binary logit model,and gets some valuable findings.In detail,the twenty goods groups,involved into the large friction tension of U.S.AD against China,have rather small indices of intra-industry trade during 1995~2006,from which the U.S.suffer quite large imbalance of trade deficit.These are the true reasons that the U.S.takes frequently AD investigations and definitive measures against China.In addition,this paper proves empirically that there is no positive relationship between AD density and U.S.-China bilateral IIT.The conclusion is that the goods groups with rather small indices of U.S.-China bilateral IIT and quite large imbalance of trade deficit are the easiest to cause the U.S.AD actions against China.

关 键 词：反倾销 产业内贸易 GL指数 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]