Simulation and Analysis of Land System Structure Changes in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain Area  

黄淮海平原土地系统结构变化的模拟与分析(英文)

作　　者：邓祥征[1] 战金艳[2] 苏红波[1] 姜群鸥[3] 迟百余[4] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 [2]北京师范大学环境学院,北京100875 [3]中南大学地学与环境工程学院,湖南长沙410083 [4]山东师范大学人口资源与环境学院,山东济南250014

出　　处：《Agricultural Science & Technology》2007年第3期45-52,共8页农业科学与技术（英文版）

基　　金：Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(70503025);the Knowledge Innovation Project of Chinese Academy of Sci-ences(KZCX2-YW-305-2;KSCX2-YW-N-039);the National Project of Scientific and Technical Supporting Programs(2006BAC08B03;2006BAC08B06);international cooperation program of science and technolo-gy ministry(2006DFB919201).~~

摘　　要：The dynamic changes of land system in Huang - Huai - Hai Plain between 1988 and 2000 were researched in this paper. Spatial dominance econometric model was estabilished on 1 km cell to quantificafionally analyze the driving-force for the dynamic change mechanism of land system, such as natural, social and economic factors. The future dynamic changes of land system in Huang - Huai - Hai Plain on each 1 km cell during 2000 to 2020 were stimulated by combining the dynamic changes of land system on each 1 km cell with different situations. The research indicated that the dynamic changes of land system structure changed mainly from the cultivated areas to building areas and industrial areas, and forest areas increased during this period. Although the revolutions of land system structure were different during 2000 to 2020 with the different referrence standard, ecological protection and economic development, the primary dynamic changes of land system structure were that the increase of building land areas with the decline cuhivaled land areas and the increase of woodlands.The dynamic changes of land system in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain between 1988 and 2000 were researched in this paper.Spatial dominance econometric model was estabilished on 1 km cell to quantificationally analyze the driving-force for the dynamic change mechanism of land system,such as natural,social and economic factors.The future dynamic changes of land system in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain on each 1 km cell during 2000 to 2020 were stimulated by combining the dynamic changes of land system on each 1 km cell with different situations.The research indicated that the dynamic changes of land system structure changed mainly from the cultivated areas to building areas and industrial areas,and forest areas increased during this period.Although the revolutions of land system structure were different during 2000 to 2020 with the different referrence standard,ecological protection and economic development,the primary dynamic changes of land system structure were that the increase of building land areas with the decline cultivated land areas and the increase of woodlands.

关 键 词：LAND Land system Land system structure Land system structure change Land use Dynamic simulation Huang- Huai -Hai Plain 

分 类 号：S152[农业科学—土壤学]