内地与香港双边贸易流量与潜力研究——基于贸易引力模型的实证分析  

Research on the Bilateral Trade Flows and Potential between the Mainland and Hong Kong in China——Based on the Empirical Analysis of Trade Gravity Model

作　　者：王鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《当代财经》2008年第3期81-87,共7页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：广东省软科学研究计划项目(2007B070900054);广州市哲学社会科学发展"十一五"规划课题(07Q3);暨南大学人文社会科学引进人才科研启动基金项目(006JSYJ030)

摘　　要：内地各省市(自治区)的GDP和人均GDP、香港人均GDP、绝对距离以及泛珠三角区域合作组织等解释变量,是影响双边贸易流量的主要因素;各因素的影响程度互有不同,内地各省市(自治区)对香港的出口贸易潜力也存在一定差异。因此,内地与香港应采取针对性的措施,进一步加强经贸交流和合作,充分发挥各自的区位优势和竞争优势,实现两地经济的共同繁荣。Of the variables that affect the bilateral trade flows between the mainland and Hongkong in China the GDP and per capita GDP of every inland province, autonomous region or municipality and the per capita GDP of Hong Kong, the absolute distance and the regional cooperation organization in the Pan-pearl River Delta axe the main factors, which also vary in their effect on the bilateral trade flows. The potential of the expert from every inland province, autonomous region or municipality to Hong Kong also varies from place to place. So, the mainland provinces and regions and Hong Kong should take pertinent measures to strengthen the communication and cooperation in economic and trade areas in order to bring their respective regional advantage and competitive advantage into full play and realize common prosperity of economy in the two regions.

关 键 词：内地与香港 贸易流量 贸易潜力 贸易引力模型 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]