相容非概率信息的可靠性理论与方法研究  

Research on Model and Algorithms for Satellite Reliability Including Non-probabilistic Information

作　　者：宋政吉[1] 王慧[1] 王立[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国空间技术研究院,北京100094

出　　处：《航天器工程》2007年第4期29-35,共7页Spacecraft Engineering

基　　金：民用863计算项目--相容概率/非概率信息的卫星产品可靠性度量指标及方法研究(2006AA04Z410)

摘　　要：介绍了相容非概率信息的可靠性研究进展和趋势,说明了在卫星可靠性工程中开展相容非概率信息研究的必要性和可行性。在总结分析现有主要可靠性量化分析理论与工具的原理、方法和特点的基础上,提出了实现相容非概率卫星可靠性信息量化的相关技术路径,并指出非概率信息在卫星可靠性工程中的应用将是改善卫星可靠度量化控制问题的一条途径。The tendency and advance of reliability quantification including non-probabilistic information are introduced, and the necessity and feasibility of utilizing non-probabilistic information in satellite reliability engineering are discussed. Based on the brief analysis of the nowadays reliability quantification methodologies, the implementary route of the non-probabilistic information quantification in satellite reliability engineering are proposed, and finally, utilizing non-probabilistic information to improve satellite reliability quantification and control capability is suggested.

关 键 词：不确定量化 可靠性 卫星 

分 类 号：V415[航空宇航科学与技术—航空宇航推进理论与工程]