安庆市多年气象数据定量分析  

Quantitative analysis of multi-year meteorological data in Anqing city

作　　者：刘玲[1] 张庆国[2] 陈庭甫[1] 秦小林[2] 

机构地区：[1]安徽农业大学资源与环境学院,安徽合肥230036 [2]安徽农业大学理学院,安徽合肥230036

出　　处：《安徽农学通报》2008年第7期131-132,165,共3页Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin

摘　　要：根据近50年(1951-2000年)的气象资料,应用时间序列分析与线性回归分析等方法,定量分析了安庆市气温和降雨量的变化和雨、热搭配对农业生产的影响。结果表明:20世纪50年代以来,安庆市气温在稳步上升,呈现暖化趋势;全年降水量也有增多的趋势,主要是由于夏、秋季降水增多所致;气温与同期降水量之间的相关性显著。According to nearly 50 years （ 1951 -2000） meteorological data, time series analysis and linear regression analy-sis were used to study the Anqing City of climate change. The result indicated that： Since the 20th century 505, the Anqing temperature has been rising with steady steps, showing the warm tendency; The precipitation of the whole year was also increasing, mainly due to summer and autumn increased precipitation; The correlation between the temperature and precipitation of the same period was significant.

关 键 词：气温 降水量 相关分析 农业生产 

分 类 号：S161.6[农业科学—农业气象学]