粮食生产影响因素的灰色关联分析  

Grey Correlative Analysis of Grain Production and Factors

作　　者：王争艳[1] 皇甫光宇[2] 潘元庆[1] 李天阁[1] 王兵[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南省国土资源科学研究院,河南郑州450016 [2]河南省国土资源厅,河南郑州450016

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2008年第8期3050-3052,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：在分析南宁市1996-2003年粮食生产变化情况的基础上,运用灰色系统理论对影响南宁市粮食生产的诸因素进行关联动态分析,量化了粮食总产量与诸因子的关联程度,指出粮食单产、耕地面积和粮食播种面积是影响南宁市粮食生产的主要因素,并提出了粮食生产可持续发展的基本对策。Based on the analysis on the change of grain production during 1996-2003 in Nanning city, according to the grey system theory, factors affecting grain production in Nanning city are analyzed and correlative degree between factors and grain production is quantitatively measured. The results show that per unit area grain production, arable area and grain sown area are the most important factors that affect grain production in Nanning city. And the countermeasures on realizing the sustainable development of grain are presented.

关 键 词：粮食生产 影响因素 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：S117[农业科学—农业基础科学]