基于生态足迹模型的山东省可持续发展能力及对策分析  

Analysis on Sustainable Development of Shandong Province Based on Ecological Footprint Model

作　　者：张凤娟[1] 王洪丽[2] 

机构地区：[1]山东农业大学经济管理学院,泰安271018 [2]吉林省农业科学院,公主岭136100

出　　处：《农业科技管理》2008年第2期20-22,76,共4页Management of Agricultural Science and Technology

摘　　要：文章利用生态足迹模型定量研究山东省1999～2004年的可持续发展状况。结果表明,6年来,山东省的总生态足迹显现较快的上升趋势,每年平均增长3.1%,总生态承载力也是逐年上升,但总生态赤字越来越大;从生态足迹的供需结构看,山东省的生态足迹已远远超过其生态承载力。从长远发展看,山东省应该发展知识经济和循环经济,控制人口数量,并倡导新的生活方式和消费方式,同时,要加强替代资源开发研究,以实现区域发展的可持续性。Using ecological footprint model, the sustainable development condition of Shandong province from 1999 ～ 2004 was quantitatively studied. The results showed that total ecological footprint of Shandong province since 1999 appeared trend of quicker increase. The average growth was about 3.1% every year. The total ecological supporting capacity also was rising, but the total ecological deficit was larger and larger. From the supply and demand structure of ecological footprint, Shandong province＇s ecological footprint has gone far beyond its ecological supporting capacity. In terms of future development, Shandong province should develop the knowledge economy and circulation economy, control population and initiates the new life style and the consume way. Simultaneously, it must be strengthened that the research on substitute resources to realize sustainable development of society and economy.

关 键 词：可持续发展 生态足迹模型 对策分析 

分 类 号：F323.22[经济管理—产业经济] S-0[农业科学]