中国通货膨胀:特征、原因与治理  

Inflation in China:Features,Reasons and Resolutions

作　　者：王自力[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行郑州培训学院,河南郑州450011

出　　处：《河南金融管理干部学院学报》2008年第2期1-7,共7页Journal of Henan College of Financial Management Cadres

摘　　要：由于GDP紧缩系数的计算还存在统计数据滞后的问题,因此,我国通货膨胀的衡量目前仍采用CPI指标。但因我国CPI统计体系的缺陷,使得居民对通货膨胀的实际感受与国家统计局公布的数据存在不少差异。从我国通货膨胀的形成逻辑来看,我国目前的爬行式通货膨胀可能将持续一、两年的时间,但最多形成较严重的通货膨胀,发展成奔跑式通货膨胀的可能性很小。我国目前发生的通货膨胀,其根本原因是汇率政策存在偏颇。为抑制通货膨胀,应允许人民币升值。同时,建立一个覆盖全社会的比较完善的社会保障制度,以应对人民币升值后国内需求的启动。Owing to the lagging problem for GDP deflation modulus calculation, a measurement of inflation in China tistics of China. Viewed from the formation logic for the inflation in China, the present crawling inflation in China will remain for one to two years, at most forming a comparatively serious inflation, and there is little likelihood to change into running inflation. The fundamental reason for the present inflation in China is the deviation of exchange rate policies. In order to curb inflation, it＇ s necessary to permit Renminbi appreciation. At the same time, it＇ s necessary to build a comparatively perfect social safeguarding system covering all over the society.

关 键 词：通货膨胀 消费物价指数(CPI) 人民币升值 社会保障制度 

分 类 号：F822.5[经济管理—财政学]