通勤出行简单链和复杂链的选择行为研究  

Behavior Analysis of Simple/complex Trip Chaining

作　　者：杨敏[1] 陈学武[1] 王炜[1] 万涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学交通规划与管理江苏省重点实验室,南京210096

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2008年第2期191-194,共4页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：国家973计划项目(批准号:2006CB705501);教育部博士点基金项目资助(批准号:20070286011)

摘　　要：理解通勤出行简单链和复杂链的选择行为,对于推动出行行为研究和实施交通需求管理策略具有重要意义.文中用交叉列联表方法分析了家庭属性、个体属性、土地利用属性、出行属性和工作活动安排对个体简单链和复杂链选择行为的影响,以此为基础建立了个体选择简单链和复杂链的二项Log istic模型.模型分析结果表明,家庭工作人数、职业、年龄、居住小区、上班出行方式、上、下班时间是影响个体选择简单链还是复杂链的显著变量.Understanding of simple/complex trip chaining decision making becomes a major prerequisite for improving travel behavior analysis as well as the development of congestion relief policies and strategies. Crosstab method is used to analyze the effect of several attributes, including household and individual socio-demographics, land use pattern, trip attribute and work schedule on the choice behavior of the simple and complex chains. Based on crosstab analysis, a binary logistic regression model is presented to estimate the probability that an individual choices a complex chain. The results demonstrate that seven variables, including number of household workers, occupation, age, residential zone, work trip mode, work start time, work ending time, have significant impact on whether to choose a simple or complex chain.

关 键 词：通勤出行链 简单链 复杂链 交叉列联表分析 二项Logistic回归模型 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]