劳动力市场扭曲与中国宏观经济失衡  

Labor Market Distortion and Imbalance of China's Macro-economy

作　　者：徐长生[1] 刘望辉[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院

出　　处：《统计研究》2008年第5期32-37,共6页Statistical Research

摘　　要：本文建立一个简单的理论模型分析了劳动力市场负向扭曲对我国宏观经济的影响，并利用1998。2005年我国30个省市自治区的面板数据对文章的结论进行了实证检验。研究结果表明：劳动力市扬负向扭曲是造成我国宏观经济失衡的主要原因。在封闭经济条件下，劳动力市场负向扭曲会导致我国的内需不足，投资快速增长，企业的生产能力过剩，经济出现内部失衡；而在开放经济条件下，经济的内部失衡会导致我国符合自身比较优势的劳动密集型产品出口的快速增长，同时由于技术贸易壁垒，进口不能相应增长，经济出现外部失衡。因此，采取有效措施缓解我国劳动力市场的负向扭曲问题是解决当前我国宏观经济失衡的关键。This paper analyzes the effect of the negative distortion of labor market on china＇ s macro-economy by establishing a simple theoretical model and then uses the panel data of China from 1998 to 2005 as empirical test. Results show that the negative distortion of labor market is the main reason for the imbalance of China＇s macro-economy. In a closed economy, negative distortion of labor market results in shortage of domestic demand, speedy increasing of investment and excess production ability of enterprises and thus results in the internal imbalance; and further that, with the combination of internal imbalance and open economy environment, China produces the products that are labor intensive in a speedy way. However due to the technology trade barrier, the import can not increase correspondingly and thus we have the external imbalance. So taking the efficient steps to mitigate the negative distortion of labor market is the key element to solve the imbalance of china＇s macro-economy.

关 键 词：宏观经济失衡 劳动力市场负向扭曲 内部失衡 外部失衡 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]