中国进出口贸易中的隐含碳估算  

Accounting Embodied Carbon in Import and Export in China

作　　者：齐晔[1] 李惠民[2] 徐明[3] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学公共管理学院,北京100084 [2]北京师范大学环境学院,北京100875 [3]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2008年第3期8-13,共6页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：科技部科技支撑项目“全球环境变化对我国的影响研究”资助

摘　　要：采用投入产出法。估算了1997-2006年中国进出口贸易中的隐含碳。对进出口商品都采用中国的碳耗水平所作的保守估计发现：1997-2006年，通过产品的形式，我国为国外排放了大量的碳，1997-2004年。隐含碳净出口占当年碳排放总量的比倒在0．5％-2．7％之间,2004年之后迅速增加。2006年该数字达10％左右。按照日本的碳耗效率对进口产品进行调整后的乐观估计发现。中国为j国该外转移排放的碳数量更为惊人。1997-2002年隐含碳净出口量占当年碳排放总量的12％～14％。2002年之后迅速增加，到2006年，该数字已达29.28％。作为生产者和消费者，中国和其出口国都是这些碳排放的受益者，都应该对气候变化负责。一味对中国增长的碳排放进行指责是不全面的。Carbon embodied in international trade of China in 1997-2006 is accounted by input-output method. An optimistic estimation and a conservative estimation are made respectively. The conservative one applies carbon intensity coefficient of China to estimate embodied carbon of imports. It revealed that China was an carbon export nation of in 1997- 2006. In 1997- 2004, the net carbon export accounted for about 0.5% - 2.7% of total carbon emissions of that year. After 2004, the proportion is increased rapidly. It reacheed to 10% in 2006. The optimistic one applies carbon intensity coefficient of Japan to estimate embodied carbon of imports. It revealed that China exported more carbons in 1997 - 2006. In 1997 - 2002, the net carbon export accounted for about 12% - 14% of total carbon emissions of that year. After 2002, the proportion increased rapidly. It reached to 29.28 % in 2006. As producers and consumers, China and nations that import from China gain much benefits from carbon emissions. They both should be responsible for climate change.

关 键 词：进出口贸易 隐含碳 投入产出法 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济]