中间与两极汇率制度演变趋势分析——基于两种分类方法的统计分析  

Trend Analysis of the Variation between Middle(Mean) and Bipolar Exchange Rate System——Statistical Analysis Based on Two De Facto Classification Methods

作　　者：赵玉平[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津商业大学经济学院,天津300134

出　　处：《当代经济管理》2008年第4期90-95,共6页Contemporary Economic Management

摘　　要："中空论"是近年来比较流行的汇率制度选择理论之一,文章分别采用Bubula and tker-Robe事实分类法和IMF官方事实分类法对147个样本国家1990-2001年和1999-2006年的汇率制度发展趋势进行统计分析,以期发现在现实中各国汇率制度选择是否存在"中空"的趋势。研究发现就147个国家的总体样本而言,中间汇率制度确有下降的趋势,但是相对比例仍然很高,"中空"的趋势并不明显,而不同类型的国家汇率制度演变趋势不同。＂Hollow middle＂ is one of the currently popular exchange rate system theories. This paper, by means of Bubula and Otker-Robe de facto and IMF, attempts to make statistical analysis of the development trend in exchange rate systems of 147 sample countries in the years 1990-2001 and 1999-2006 with a view to finding if the trend of ＂hollow middle＂ exists in all these countries. The finding shows that there is a falling trend in middle exchange rate system, which, however, still plays an important role in these countries; ＂ hollow middle＂ trend is not obvious, and the development trend of exchange rate system varies in accordance with different type of countries.

关 键 词：汇率制度 中空论 事实分类法 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]