复活的布雷顿森林体系:国际争论与现实冲击  

The Revived Bretton Woods System:International Disputes and Reality Shocks

作　　者：白晓燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2008年第5期44-50,共7页World Economy Studies

摘　　要：Dooley等人用"复活的布雷顿森林体系"(BWⅡ)框架解释全球国际收支失衡并预测这种模式未来还将持续,该学说在国际经济学界引起广泛关注。在对相关理论争议进行梳理的基础上,本文着重考察了2005年以来国际经济金融领域的最新变化对BWⅡ稳定性的影响。分析表明,中国等新兴经济体的汇率体制变化、美元的持续贬值、2007年部分国家初现端倪的储备多元化趋势等增强了BWⅡ的不稳定性,单一货币主导的国际货币体系格局很难持续。Dooley et al.put forward 'the revived Bretton Woods System'(hence BWⅡ)to explain the global current account imbalances of the last decade.In their view,BWⅡis mutually beneficial to emerging markets and the US,and stable enough to endure for decades.The BWⅡ hypothesis engendered a rich debate and this paper summarizes it at first.After that,the paper focus on the developments that has developed since 2005 such as China's abandonment of its fixed dollar peg,the devaluation of US dollar and reserve diversification among many countries in 2007.Such developments would seem to portend changes that BWⅡ is unlikely to last as long as the original Bretton Woods System and the international monetary system based on a certain single currency is unsustainable over time.

关 键 词：复活的布雷顿森林体系 国际收支失衡 中心国家 外围国家 

分 类 号：F821[经济管理—财政学]