基于分形理论的区域水资源系统脆弱性评价  

Evaluation of vulnerability of regional water resources system based on the fractal theory

作　　者：陈康宁[1] 董增川[1] 崔志清[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏南京210098

出　　处：《水资源保护》2008年第3期24-26,34,共4页Water Resources Protection

基　　金：教育部科技研究重点项目(104197)

摘　　要：根据资料获取的难易程度以及指标的科学性、可比性、全面性和动态性等原则，构建了区域水资源系统脆弱性评价指标体系，并对河北省水资源系统的脆弱性进行了评价。结果表明，在实施南水北调工程、强化本地节水措施力度、努力保证生态环境用水的条件下，2000～2030年河北省水资源系统的脆弱性程度将逐步改善。To address the difficulties in obtaining data and to act on the principle that a data indexing system should be scientific, comparable, comprehensive and dynamic, an index system for the evaluation of vulnerability of regional water resources was developed and applied in Hebei Province. The results show that water resources in Hebei Province will become gradually less vulnerable from 2000 to 2030, when the South to North Water Transfer Project is in operation, water-saving measures are taken and the ecological water demand is satisfied.

关 键 词：河北省 水资源系统 分形理论 脆弱性评价 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]