客源地出游力的社会经济现象假说——基于中国国内旅游出游力研究  

A Hypothesis of Socio-economic Phenomenon about Travel Capability in Tourism-generating Regions——A Case Study on Domestic Travel in China

作　　者：钟士恩[1] 任黎秀[1] 蒋志欣[1] 罗浩[1] 郭金海[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,江苏南京210093

出　　处：《旅游学刊》2008年第6期18-23,共6页Tourism Tribune

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(40501020)

摘　　要：本文提出了"客源地社会经济属性决定其出游力大小"的假说,并以中国国内旅游出游力为例进行实证分析。在对中国31个省、直辖市、自治区的21个社会经济变量因子分析的基础上,验证了研究假说,得出旅游本质上是一种社会经济现象。通过引入三角图解法,将中国31个省、直辖市、自治区的出游力在社会经济规模因子、居民生活水平因子、对外联系水平因子等3个维度上进行分解,探寻中国省际出游力的区域差异。并采用ArcGIS样条曲线差值法,研究发现中国省际出游力地域空间形态整体呈现"三级阶梯状",与中国三大阶梯分界线大致吻合,累计70%的旅游出游力集中在第三阶梯,中国存在"四大旅游客源地":冀鲁豫、苏浙沪、鄂湘粤和四川。The paper puts forward a hypothesis that economic attribute in tourism-generating regions determines its travel capability, and makes demonstrative analysis of China＇s domestic travel capability. Based on the analysis of variables in China＇s 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions, the authors test and verify the study hypothesis and confirm that tourism is in essence a kind of socio-economic phenomenon. By introducing ternary graph method, the paper decomposes three dimensions of socio-economic scale factor, residents＇ living standard factor and external connection level factor to search for regional differences about provincial travel capabilities in China. The study finds that the regional spatial shape of China＇ s provincial travel capability is presented as ＂three-tier stairs＂, which conforms to China＇s three-stair demarcation line. 70 percent of travel capability concentrates on the third stair. China boasts 4 tourism- generating regions; namely; Hebei, Shangdong, and Henan ; Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai; Hubei, Hunan and Guangdong as well as Sichuan.

关 键 词：客源地 出游力 因子分析 三角图解法 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]