收益与进化阶段强相关的灰色进化博弈模型研究  

Category of symmetric grey evolutionary game under strong correlation between individual pay-off and evolution stage

作　　者：阮爱清[1] 刘思峰[1] 方志耕[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京210016

出　　处：《控制与决策》2008年第6期665-671,共7页Control and Decision

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70473037);南京航空航天大学特聘教授科研创新基金项目(1009-260812)

摘　　要：进化博弈的链结构模型能直观地描述和研究经济活动的过程,而收益与发展阶段强相关是经济活动中经常存在的一种现象,同时考虑到人的有限理性以及现实中的贫信息因素,灰数便成为收益矩阵估计的重要手段.为此提出一类收益与进化阶段强相关的灰进化博弈链结构模型.在此基础上研究模型的求解问题,并给出了算例.最后结合产业集聚,讨论了解的经济含义和现实启发.A chain model of evolutionary is used to describe and study economic process vividly. However, the income of economic action is under strong correlation with development stage. Considering the bounded rationality and the inadequacy of information in real life,grey nuber is an important tool for the estimation of pay-off matrix. Therefore, a class of category chain model of grey evolutionary game is proposed to study the process of some economic conditions. On the basis of these, its evolutionary stable strategy （ESS） is discussed, and some important conclusions are obtained. Finally, an irradiative conclustion is gotten that, in some situation, industry cluster can be created by some ways.

关 键 词：进化博弈 灰数 链结构 进化阶段 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学] F204