灰色关联理论在矿井瓦斯涌出灾害预测中的应用  

Application of Gray Connection Theory in Gas Disaster Forecast

作　　者：张淑玲[1] 崔洪庆[1] 刘国兴[1] 冯文丽[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁工程技术大学资源与环境工程学院,辽宁阜新123000

出　　处：《煤炭技术》2008年第3期67-69,共3页Coal Technology

摘　　要：瓦斯是造成煤矿生产过程中事故频发的重要因素。为了更好地对矿井瓦斯涌出情况进行预测,为井下安全生产和灾害预测提供理论依据,基于灰色理论分析方法,建立了煤层瓦斯涌出量及其影响因素的数学模型,根据各影响因素的灰色关联度来对煤层瓦斯涌出情况进行预测,最后对推导结果进行了实际检验。实践证明,用该方法对煤层瓦斯涌出量进行预测是可行的。The gas is an important factor which causes accidents in the coal production. In order to appraise coal bed gas, offer the theoretical foundation for the safety in production and predicted calamity in the mine, we have set up the mathematical model of gushing out amount of seam gas and influence factors according to gray theory analytical method, predict the situation of gushing out of seam gas according to gray related degree of influence factors; at last, examined the result. Practice has proved that predicting the gushing out amount of seam gas with this method is feasible.

关 键 词：灰色关联度 煤层瓦斯涌出量 灾害预测 

分 类 号：TD712[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]